Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 91.904537 102.331364 112.927480 124.471132 136.662937 149.128360 162.808707
2025-08-24 75.728352 90.861464 106.859388 124.908780 144.589531 165.291509 188.608934
2025-08-31 64.695881 82.309988 101.500155 123.709391 148.470315 175.017016 205.425661
2025-09-07 57.793842 77.389960 99.295746 125.183971 154.561853 186.526643 223.611256
2025-09-14 52.467224 73.641496 97.866434 127.022713 160.610021 197.605381 240.974514
2025-09-21 46.473375 68.547115 94.413829 126.121063 163.187839 204.498207 253.402670
2025-09-28 40.493962 62.968088 89.970755 123.688129 163.680140 208.759795 262.626554
2025-10-05 38.608409 62.321607 91.312064 127.966745 171.861843 221.708758 281.630620
2025-10-12 36.161875 60.743202 91.347497 130.541918 177.935038 232.152664 297.715685
2025-10-19 32.527862 57.331391 88.887527 129.905351 180.052415 237.897255 308.307921
2025-10-26 29.263659 54.173506 86.558572 129.267304 182.034348 243.378229 318.507523
2025-11-02 26.883342 52.062236 85.442224 130.026365 185.613805 250.668103 330.755612
2025-11-09 24.033205 49.108579 83.117240 129.202954 187.249960 255.683978 340.411392
2025-11-16 21.845942 46.962049 81.752053 129.515733 190.221082 262.251365 351.871277
2025-11-23 19.343599 44.131751 79.308695 128.312770 191.214311 266.373678 360.383125
2025-11-30 17.939514 42.897908 78.985866 129.814938 195.540447 274.478041 373.594901
2025-12-07 16.765293 41.938083 78.983480 131.692807 200.307145 283.096552 387.409957
2025-12-14 14.869516 39.622985 76.943999 130.772188 201.465166 287.280750 395.894043
2025-12-21 12.725340 36.666751 73.830132 128.288046 200.536505 288.844101 401.177112
2025-12-28 12.524937 37.141551 75.755723 132.656460 208.412084 301.225558 419.494684
2026-01-04 11.904128 36.795014 76.426242 135.285064 214.032618 310.828009 434.465759
2026-01-11 10.551772 34.953304 74.764191 134.635331 215.359883 315.095757 442.964133
2026-01-18 9.316234 33.198231 73.147946 133.984061 216.636688 319.266424 451.319517